A common list from the opposition may result in losing a third of Jobbik and one-fifth of left-wing voters, almost certainly because widely rejected politician Ferenc Gyurcsány and his party would also be part of this rainbow coalition, recent polls by Nézőpont Intézet indicate.
Such scenario would have Fidesz-KDNP winning 14 seats in the European Parliament in May this year, exceeding their 2014 results, while opposition parties (MSZP-Párbeszéd, DK, Momentum, LMP, Liberals) would have to accept the poorest election outcome in their history.
33 percent of Jobbik and 20 percent of left-wing sympathisers would not vote for an all inclusive opposition alliance. Residents of Eastern Hungary are overrepresented among both Jobbik and left-wing voters who would reject a common list. Polls also indicate, however, that more voters of DK than that of MSZP would lean toward an alliance with Jobbik (83 and 55 percent, respectively). Ferenc Gyurcsány’s consistently high rejection rate among Hungarians (73 percent), Jobbik sympathisers (84 percent) and left-wingers (55 percent) is one of the main reasons for the drop in voter numbers.